SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Cove Rangers |
40.46% ( 0.22) | 24.73% ( 0.18) | 34.81% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 58.44% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.34% ( -0.9) | 44.66% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( -0.88) | 67.02% ( 0.88) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( -0.29) | 22.05% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.61% ( -0.44) | 55.39% ( 0.44) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( -0.64) | 25.03% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.31% ( -0.9) | 59.69% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.81% |
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