SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Oxford United |
53.3% ( 0.75) | 22.36% ( -0.21) | 24.34% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 59.85% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.23% ( 0.45) | 39.77% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.88% ( 0.46) | 62.12% ( -0.46) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% ( 0.41) | 14.97% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.6% ( 0.77) | 43.4% ( -0.77) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( -0.19) | 29.61% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% ( -0.23) | 65.65% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Oxford United |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.3% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.16% Total : 24.34% |
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