Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.
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