Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.01%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Crawley Town |
48.31% (![]() | 21.77% | 29.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.72% (![]() | 32.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.12% (![]() | 53.88% (![]() |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.06% (![]() | 13.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.59% (![]() | 41.4% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% (![]() | 21.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.86% (![]() | 55.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-2 @ 4.49% 3-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.15% 4-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.78% Total : 48.31% | 1-1 @ 9.13% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.27% Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-1 @ 4.64% 0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.41% Total : 29.91% |
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