SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Morecambe |
50.64% ( 0.4) | 22.56% ( 0.03) | 26.8% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 61.77% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.61% ( -0.49) | 38.38% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.33% ( -0.52) | 60.67% ( 0.52) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.62% ( -0.04) | 15.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.83% ( -0.07) | 44.17% ( 0.07) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( -0.56) | 27.01% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% ( -0.73) | 62.36% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.64% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.8% |
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