SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Notts County |
41.65% ( 0.45) | 21.91% ( 0.28) | 36.44% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 69.52% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.62% ( -1.57) | 30.38% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.35% ( -1.9) | 51.65% ( 1.91) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( -0.47) | 15.55% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.51% ( -0.89) | 44.49% ( 0.9) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( -1.01) | 17.68% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.68% ( -1.78) | 48.32% ( 1.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.1)Other @ 4% Total : 41.65% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.14)3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.44% |
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