Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 61.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.
0.12) 
-0.04) 
