Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Parma |
42.67% ( -0.25) | 25.89% ( 0.1) | 31.43% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.34% ( -0.37) | 50.66% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.43% ( -0.32) | 72.56% ( 0.32) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.42% ( -0.28) | 23.58% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.36% ( -0.41) | 57.64% ( 0.4) |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% ( -0.08) | 30.04% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.82% ( -0.1) | 66.17% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.67% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.23% Total : 31.43% |
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