Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
1.35) 
-1.75) 
