Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
