SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Sutton United |
49.83% ( -0.2) | 23.56% ( 0.05) | 26.61% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.76% ( -0.11) | 43.24% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.36% ( -0.11) | 65.64% ( 0.11) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% ( -0.12) | 17.47% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.05% ( -0.2) | 47.95% ( 0.2) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( 0.05) | 29.69% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( 0.06) | 65.75% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.83% Total : 49.83% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.61% |
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