SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Glentoran |
33.7% ( 0.2) | 25.04% ( 0.01) | 41.26% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% ( 0.02) | 46.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% ( 0.02) | 68.6% ( -0.02) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( 0.13) | 26.46% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.36% ( 0.17) | 61.64% ( -0.17) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -0.09) | 22.38% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( -0.14) | 55.88% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 33.7% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 41.26% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
