NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
FT(HT: 1-1)
Larmour (16'), Owens (88')
Lecky (66'), Forsythe (67')
Forsythe (89'), Forsythe (90')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Crusaders.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Glentoran | Draw | Crusaders |
34.8% ( -2.98) | 27.7% ( -0.14) | 37.51% ( 3.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( 0.46) |
| 42.85% ( 0.55) | 57.15% ( -0.55) |
| 21.98% ( 0.44) | 78.02% ( -0.44) |
| 68.92% ( -1.58) | 31.08% ( 1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.6% ( -1.89) | 67.4% ( 1.89) |
| 70.61% ( 2.23) | 29.39% ( -2.24) |
