SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Crusaders |
34.8% ( -2.98) | 27.7% ( -0.14) | 37.51% ( 3.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.85% ( 0.55) | 57.15% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.98% ( 0.44) | 78.02% ( -0.44) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( -1.58) | 31.08% ( 1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( -1.89) | 67.4% ( 1.89) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% ( 2.23) | 29.39% ( -2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.62% ( 2.65) | 65.38% ( -2.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.71) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.37)2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.72)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.79% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.46)0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.67)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.37)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.5% |
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