Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Juarez
46.28% ( 1.24)	24.76% ( -0.05)	28.95% ( -1.19)

Both teams to score 55.81% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.01% (

-0.41)

46.99% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76% (

-0.39)

69.24% (

0.39)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63% (

0.37)

20.37% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.22% (

0.58)

52.78% (

-0.59)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09% (

-1.04)

29.91% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.99% (

-1.28)

66.01% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 46.28%

Juarez 28.95%

Draw 24.77%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Juarez
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.28%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.95%