Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.01) 
