SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Club Libertad |
59.86% ( -0.2) | 23.26% ( 0.1) | 16.88% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.54% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( -0.22) | 53.14% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( -0.19) | 74.71% ( 0.19) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( -0.15) | 17.44% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.11% ( -0.27) | 47.89% ( 0.27) |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.15% ( -0) | 44.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.19% ( -0) | 80.81% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Club Libertad |
| 1-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 16.88% |
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