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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
F

Cruzeiro
0 - 1
Fortaleza


Castan (14'), Pepa (25'), Machado (44'), Wallisson (83'), Marlon (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martin Lucero (80')
Welison (45'), Guilherme (45+2'), Britez (73'), Alexandre (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 2-2 Cruzeiro
Saturday, June 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 11 at 1am in Brasileiro

We said: Cruzeiro 1-1 Fortaleza

Neither side have been particularly impressive in recent weeks, and while they will likely go all out to bag a much-needed win, we can see them cancelling each other out in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
CruzeiroDrawFortaleza
45.38% (-11.428 -11.43) 26.67% (2.144 2.14) 27.95% (9.276 9.28)
Both teams to score 49.21% (4.047 4.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.72% (0.078000000000003 0.08)55.28% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (0.062999999999999 0.06)76.5% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-4.894 -4.89)24.28% (4.888 4.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (-7.453 -7.45)58.65% (7.447 7.45)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65% (8.961 8.96)35% (-8.967 -8.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (8.345 8.35)71.75% (-8.351 -8.35)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 45.38%
    Fortaleza 27.95%
    Draw 26.66%
CruzeiroDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.03% (-1.95 -1.95)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.488 -0.49)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-2.957 -2.96)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.936 -0.94)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-2.254 -2.25)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.621 -0.62)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-1.151 -1.15)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.38%
1-1 @ 12.62% (1.13 1.13)
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.818 0.82)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.92% (1.916 1.92)
1-2 @ 6.63% (1.907 1.91)
0-2 @ 4.68% (1.804 1.8)
1-3 @ 2.32% (1.027 1.03)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.581 0.58)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.85 0.85)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bahia 2-2 Cruzeiro
Saturday, June 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, June 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Gremio
Thursday, June 1 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Cruzeiro
Saturday, May 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Cuiaba
Tuesday, May 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-4 Cruzeiro
Sunday, May 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 11 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-0 Fortaleza
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Bahia
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Palmeiras
Wednesday, May 31 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Vasco
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-2 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, May 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana


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