Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.