Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Fluminense
43.33% ( -0.16)	26.02% ( -0.03)	30.64% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.5% (

0.2)

51.5% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.69% (

0.17)

73.3% (

-0.17)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

0.01)

23.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29% (

0.01)

57.71% (

-0.01)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

0.23)

31.02% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67% (

0.27)

67.32% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 43.33%

Fluminense 30.64%

Draw 26.02%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.33%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.64%