Bahia's success over Santos on Wednesday would have boosted their confidence, but their recent league form has been disappointing, and they will be up against it in this match. Fortaleza have had their problems this season, but we are expecting them to secure all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Bahia
57.89% ( 0.29)	23.5% ( 0.16)	18.61% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 47.93% (

-1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.39% (

-1.2)

51.62% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.6% (

-1.05)

73.4% (

1.05)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.41% (

-0.33)

17.59% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.84% (

-0.57)

48.16% (

0.58)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.16% (

-1.2)

41.84% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.7% (

-1.06)

78.3% (

1.07)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 57.88%

Bahia 18.61%

Draw 23.5%

Fortaleza	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 57.88%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.92% Total : 18.61%