Botafogo's shaky run may continue despite their home advantage here, which could see them surrender top spot. They did complete a league double over Fortaleza last season, but the visitors have been tough to beat for much of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Fortaleza
50.29% ( -0.16)	26.88% ( 0.05)	22.83% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 44.35% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.62% (

-0.1)

59.38% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.24% (

-0.07)

79.76% (

0.07)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23% (

-0.11)

23.77% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.07% (

-0.16)

57.92% (

0.16)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.18% (

0.04)

41.82% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.72% (

0.04)

78.28% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 50.28%

Fortaleza 22.83%

Draw 26.88%

Botafogo	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 50.28%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.15% Total : 22.83%