Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 44.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
0.74) 
-1.05) 
