Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 44.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Fortaleza
44.59% ( 0.74)	28.2% ( 0.31)	27.21% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 44.52% (

-1.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.96% (

-1.53)

61.04% (

1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.98% (

-1.16)

81.02% (

1.16)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7% (

-0.33)

27.3% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

-0.43)

62.75% (

0.43)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24% (

-1.72)

38.75% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.51% (

-1.67)

75.49% (

1.67)

Score Analysis

Gremio 44.58%

Fortaleza 27.21%

Draw 28.2%

Gremio	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 13.73% ( 0.64) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.8% Total : 44.58%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.2%	0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.54% Total : 27.21%