Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 75.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 8.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 3-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
-1.48) 
0.47) 
