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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Universidad Catolica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union La Calera | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
26.17% ( -0.51) | 25.09% ( 0.03) | 48.74% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 52.64% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.84% ( -0.49) | 50.15% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% ( -0.44) | 72.12% ( 0.44) |
| Union La Calera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% ( -0.67) | 33.7% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.65% ( -0.74) | 70.35% ( 0.74) |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( 0.01) | 20.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.86% ( 0.01) | 53.14% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union La Calera | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.17% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 48.74% |
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