SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Liverpool |
24.35% ( -0.83) | 22.91% ( -0.3) | 52.74% ( 1.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.72% ( 0.58) | 42.28% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.32% ( 0.58) | 64.68% ( -0.58) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( -0.36) | 30.95% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( -0.43) | 67.25% ( 0.43) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.95% ( 0.62) | 16.05% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.58% ( 1.12) | 45.42% ( -1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.84% Total : 24.35% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.46% Total : 52.74% |
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