SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 0-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Liverpool |
22.6% ( -0.85) | 21.05% ( -0.34) | 56.35% ( 1.18) |
| Both teams to score 62.34% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.48% ( 0.62) | 35.52% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.43% ( 0.69) | 57.56% ( -0.69) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( -0.34) | 28.68% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.5% ( -0.43) | 64.5% ( 0.43) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.41% ( 0.55) | 12.59% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.32% ( 1.14) | 38.68% ( -1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.32% Total : 22.6% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 6.69% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 5.36% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.47% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.09)0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.08)3-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.31% Total : 56.35% |
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