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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
CP

Luton
2 - 1
Crystal Palace

Mengi (72'), Brown (83')
Lockyer (44'), Osho (50'), Barkley (59'), Clark (69'), Adebayo (90+1'), Kaminski (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olise (74')
Lerma (13')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Luton
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-3 Everton
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawCrystal Palace
38.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.85% (0.00099999999999767 0) 35.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.58% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39%71.61% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)60.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 38.41%
    Crystal Palace 35.73%
    Draw 25.85%
Luton TownDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.41%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.54%
0-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.73%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Luton
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Liverpool
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Luton
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Luton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Spurs
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Burnley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-3 Everton
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-2 Spurs
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League


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