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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Anfield
BL

Liverpool
3 - 0
Brentford

Salah (39', 62'), Jota (74')
Matip (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ajer (30'), Norgaard (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 3-2 Liverpool
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 West Ham
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 76.65%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawBrentford
76.65% (-0.31 -0.31) 14.15% (0.138 0.14) 9.2% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 54.09% (0.218 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.77% (-0.101 -0.1)30.23% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.53% (-0.121 -0.12)51.47% (0.124 0.12)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.54% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)6.46% (0.08 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.83% (-0.217 -0.22)24.17% (0.22 0.22)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.83% (0.282 0.28)42.17% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.42% (0.243 0.24)78.58% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 76.65%
    Brentford 9.2%
    Draw 14.15%
LiverpoolDrawBrentford
2-0 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.34% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.39% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 5.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 3.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.38% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.6% (-0.034 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 76.65%
1-1 @ 6.45% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.73% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 14.15%
1-2 @ 2.78% (0.046 0.05)
0-1 @ 2.35% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.02% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 9.2%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Toulouse 3-2 Liverpool
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Liverpool
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 Toulouse
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Everton
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 West Ham
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Brentford
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-0 Burnley
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Brentford
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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