SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.2%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Liverpool |
22.18% ( -0.03) | 21.62% ( -0.02) | 56.2% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.67% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.25% ( 0.04) | 38.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.94% ( 0.05) | 61.06% ( -0.05) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% ( -0) | 30.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.86% ( -0) | 67.14% ( -0) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.3% ( 0.03) | 13.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.07% ( 0.06) | 40.93% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 22.18% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.62% | 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.35% 1-3 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 56.2% |
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