Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
-0.54) 
0.56) 
