Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.04) 
