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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Tameside Stadium
MT

Curzon Ashton
0 - 4
Mansfield


Spencer (73'), Mahon (80')
Poscha (16')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Akins (15' pen.), Quinn (30'), Waine (73'), Quinn (86')
Maris (23'), Quinn (70'), Oshilaja (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 4-0 Chester
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Mansfield 3-0 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Curzon Ashton 1-3 Mansfield Town

Given the calibre of opposition, it is difficult to see how Curzon can progress into the next round of the FA Cup. Additionally, Mansfield have been one of League One's strongest sides this season, and it would not be surprising if they emerged victorious on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawMansfield Town
18.84% (-1.209 -1.21) 24.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 56.98% (1.197 1.2)
Both teams to score 46.38% (-1.892 -1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-1.528 -1.53)53.88% (1.525 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (-1.299 -1.3)75.34% (1.296 1.3)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.09% (-2.24 -2.24)42.91% (2.237 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.78% (-1.956 -1.96)79.21% (1.951 1.95)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.125 -0.13)18.76% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.84% (-0.208 -0.21)50.16% (0.203 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 18.84%
    Mansfield Town 56.98%
    Draw 24.17%
Curzon AshtonDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.82% (-0.332 -0.33)
2-0 @ 2.88% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 18.84%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.295 -0.3)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 13.47% (0.74 0.74)
0-2 @ 11.27% (0.58 0.58)
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 6.29% (0.297 0.3)
1-3 @ 5.32% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.63% (0.115 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 56.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 4-0 Chester
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 3-0 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Mansfield
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Mansfield
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One


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