SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 64.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.39%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Kosovo |
13.62% ( 0.63) | 21.99% ( 0.47) | 64.38% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.04% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.13% ( -0.54) | 53.87% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.67% ( -0.46) | 75.32% ( 0.45) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.12% ( 0.67) | 49.87% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.42% ( 0.46) | 84.57% ( -0.47) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( -0.55) | 16.13% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.44% ( -1.01) | 45.56% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cyprus | Draw | Kosovo |
| 1-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.53% Total : 13.62% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.99% | 0-1 @ 14.67% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 13.39% ( -0.22)1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 8.14% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 3.71% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.63% Total : 64.37% |
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