SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 82.99%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 5.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.73%) and 1-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Czech Republic | Draw | Armenia |
82.99% ( 0.03) | 11.87% ( -0.02) | 5.14% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.74% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.92% ( 0.02) | 36.08% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.82% ( 0.02) | 58.18% ( -0.02) |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.55% ( 0.01) | 6.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.86% ( 0.02) | 24.14% ( -0.03) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.48% ( -0.03) | 57.52% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.67% ( -0.02) | 89.33% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Czech Republic | Draw | Armenia |
| 2-0 @ 13.94% 3-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 10.17% 4-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.83% ( 0)5-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.64% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 82.98% | 1-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 11.87% | 0-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 5.14% |
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