SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for an Armenia win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Armenia | Draw | Wales |
25.23% ( 0.59) | 25.31% ( 0.06) | 49.46% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.24% ( 0.22) | 51.75% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.47% ( 0.19) | 73.52% ( -0.19) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% ( 0.63) | 35.34% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.9% ( 0.65) | 72.1% ( -0.66) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( -0.2) | 20.94% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.31% ( -0.3) | 53.68% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Armenia | Draw | Wales |
| 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.02% Total : 25.23% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.45% |
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