SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 46%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Armenia win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Armenia |
46% ( -0.01) | 24.8% ( 0.01) | 29.2% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( -0.02) | 46.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( -0.02) | 69.23% ( 0.02) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( -0.01) | 20.49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% ( -0.02) | 52.97% ( 0.02) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% | 29.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.2% ( -0) | 65.79% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Latvia | Draw | Armenia |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 29.2% |
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