If there is an MLS venue that the Whitecaps are comfortable playing in, outside of BC Place, Toyota Stadium seems to be it, and we believe their outstanding goalkeeping could steal them a road game on Wednesday.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
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