SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Dallas |
58.88% ( 0) | 22.51% | 18.62% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% ( -0.01) | 47.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.21% ( -0.01) | 69.79% ( 0.01) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -0) | 15.82% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.01% ( -0.01) | 45% ( 0.01) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% ( -0.01) | 39.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.83% ( -0.01) | 76.18% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.07% 4-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.22% Total : 58.86% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.5% | 0-1 @ 5.81% 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.62% |
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