SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Minnesota United |
55.91% ( -0.01) | 23.92% ( -0.02) | 20.17% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.18% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( 0.11) | 51.24% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% ( 0.1) | 73.07% ( -0.1) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% ( 0.04) | 18.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.84% ( 0.07) | 49.16% ( -0.07) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.11% ( 0.09) | 39.89% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.45% ( 0.08) | 76.55% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 55.91% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.17% |
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