SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | CF Montreal |
44.32% ( 0.01) | 24.79% ( 0) | 30.89% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.86% ( -0.01) | 46.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( -0.01) | 68.44% ( 0.01) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( 0) | 20.88% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.41% ( 0) | 53.59% ( -0) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( -0.01) | 28.15% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% ( -0.01) | 63.83% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 2% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.89% |
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