SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
60.69% ( 0.08) | 21.74% ( -0.05) | 17.57% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.06% ( 0.15) | 45.94% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% ( 0.14) | 68.24% ( -0.14) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.33% ( 0.07) | 14.67% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.17% ( 0.14) | 42.83% ( -0.14) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.27% ( 0.05) | 39.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.6% ( 0.05) | 76.4% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.57% |
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