Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 25, 2023 at 11pm UK
Jardines del Hipodromo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Danubio and Guarani.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 43.82%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Danubio | Draw | Guarani |
43.82% ( 0.08) | 29.19% ( -0.05) | 26.99% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.9% ( 0.11) |
| 35.74% ( 0.14) | 64.26% ( -0.14) |
| 16.63% ( 0.1) | 83.37% ( -0.1) |
| 70.73% ( 0.11) | 29.27% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.77% ( 0.14) | 65.23% ( -0.14) |
| 59.24% ( 0.06) | 40.76% ( -0.06) |
