SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
42.87% ( 0.12) | 27.6% ( -0.11) | 29.53% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.44% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.01% ( 0.38) | 57.98% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.32% ( 0.3) | 78.67% ( -0.3) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( 0.24) | 26.77% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( 0.32) | 62.05% ( -0.32) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% ( 0.19) | 35.21% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.03% ( 0.2) | 71.96% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.86% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.53% |
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