SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Danubio |
25.43% ( -0.12) | 27.71% ( -0) | 46.86% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.63% ( -0.05) | 60.37% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.48% ( -0.04) | 80.52% ( 0.04) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.07% ( -0.14) | 39.93% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.41% ( -0.13) | 76.59% ( 0.13) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( 0.04) | 25.84% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.19% ( 0.05) | 60.81% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.43% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 13.96% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 46.85% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
