SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Danubio |
58% ( -0.06) | 25.22% ( 0.07) | 16.78% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.28% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.88% ( -0.24) | 60.11% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.67% ( -0.18) | 80.32% ( 0.18) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( -0.12) | 20.8% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.54% ( -0.19) | 53.45% ( 0.19) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.85% ( -0.16) | 49.14% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.94% ( -0.11) | 84.06% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 16.05% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 58% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.58% 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.78% |
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