SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Danubio |
35.54% ( 0.11) | 26.56% ( 0.03) | 37.9% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( -0.1) | 52.58% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.09) | 74.23% ( 0.09) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( 0.02) | 28.35% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.91% ( 0.03) | 64.09% ( -0.02) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( -0.12) | 26.97% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( -0.16) | 62.31% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.9% |
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