SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Danubio |
32.3% ( 0.05) | 29.32% ( 0) | 38.38% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.87% ( -0) | 63.12% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.44% | 82.56% ( -0) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% ( 0.04) | 35.91% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.31% ( 0.04) | 72.69% ( -0.04) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( -0.03) | 31.85% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.71% ( -0.04) | 68.29% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.31% | 0-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 38.37% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
