SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
36.45% ( -1.77) | 27.48% ( 0.68) | 36.07% ( 1.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( -2.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% ( -2.67) | 56.25% ( 2.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% ( -2.2) | 77.29% ( 2.2) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( -2.33) | 29.59% ( 2.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% ( -2.93) | 65.63% ( 2.92) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( -0.64) | 29.82% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( -0.77) | 65.9% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.36)2-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.37)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.44% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.87)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.87) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.43)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.07% |
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