Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 65.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
