SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Darlington |
40.62% ( -0.17) | 26.18% ( 0.03) | 33.2% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( -0.08) | 51.38% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( -0.07) | 73.2% ( 0.07) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( -0.12) | 24.94% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( -0.17) | 59.57% ( 0.17) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.05) | 29.24% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( 0.06) | 65.19% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.2% |
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